Afturelding 1-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Oct 2025

Afturelding
1-1 HT 0-0
Vestri
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

Afturelding vs Vestri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
30%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afturelding v Vestri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.42/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.23
-52% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
32.0 Crosses 19.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Afturelding vs Vestri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vestri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.40 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
532 Passes 333
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.08.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL
10.05.2025 Vestri Vestri 2-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL
30.09.2023 Vestri Vestri 1-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.08.2023 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
10.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-1 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
16.07.2022 Vestri Vestri 1-4 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1

Afturelding 1-1 Vestri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-1
AWAY Vestri
1.36 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
415 Passes 294
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and Vestri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Afturelding had 56% of the ball to Vestri's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Afturelding and 1.33 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Vestri?

Afturelding 1-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 54%, draw 23%, Vestri 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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