KA Akureyri 5-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.61
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.7
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.94/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.22
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
27.4 Crosses 23.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-0D-3L
AWAY İA Akranes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 Passes 249
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
04.05.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 2-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
15.09.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
01.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 2-3 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
16.02.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
14.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
5-1
AWAY İA Akranes
2.57 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
308 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri swept aside İA Akranes 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 46% of the ball to İA Akranes's 54%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 2.57 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.33 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

KA Akureyri 5-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 53%, draw 24%, İA Akranes 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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