Valur 3-1 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
2.44/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.93
+41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.7 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.97 xG 2.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
349 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 2-0 Valur Valur İZL
19.10.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
19.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.05.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.10.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
26.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
3-1
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.50 xG 1.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
265 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur got the better of FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 45% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 55%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.50 to 1.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured FH Hafnarfjordur.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valur and 2.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Valur 3-1 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valur 46%, draw 24%, FH Hafnarfjordur 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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