PSM Makassar 3-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
-27% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Persik Kediri
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
221 Passes 258
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
11.03.2025 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-2 HT 1-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
04.11.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 1-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
23.09.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-3 HT 2-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar saw off Persik Kediri 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.00 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?

PSM Makassar 3-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 44%, draw 27%, Persik Kediri 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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