Malut United 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malut United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +11%
2.02/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
+33% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malut United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2026 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 2-0 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
17.01.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 HT 0-0 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
16.08.2024 Malut United Malut United 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya saw off Malut United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malut United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malut United and 0.67 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Malut United 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Malut United 41%, draw 34%, Persebaya Surabaya 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malut United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malut United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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