Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.30/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.15
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Erbil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.01.2026 Erbil Erbil 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
19.06.2025 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-2 HT 0-1 Erbil Erbil IRAK
04.02.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Erbil shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.67 for Erbil.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%, draw 29%, Erbil 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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