Duhok 1-1 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Apr 2026

Duhok
1-1 HT 1-1
Al Gharraf
📅23/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Duhok vs Al Gharraf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.1pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Duhok v Al Gharraf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.18/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.00
-10% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Duhok vs Al Gharraf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Duhok
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Gharraf
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
20.02.2026 Al Gharraf 4-3 Duhok Duhok IRAK
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok and Al Gharraf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Duhok at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Al Gharraf?

Duhok 1-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Duhok 44%, draw 36%, Al Gharraf 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Duhok), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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