Napoli 2-0 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 May 2025

Napoli
2-0 HT 1-0
Cagliari
📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.33
Over
49%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
26%
4.59
2-3
40%
1.9
4-5
23%
2.72
6+
11%
7.22
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.59 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Napoli v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari The Market 11%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.94 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.76
0.75 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.88
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.0 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Napoli vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cagliari
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.78 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
464 Passes 249
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 0-4 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
25.02.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
16.12.2023 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
21.02.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
26.09.2021 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
02.05.2021 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Napoli 2-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2-0
AWAY Cagliari
2.50 xG 0.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
532 Passes 241
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Napoli vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli took care of Cagliari 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 66% to 34% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.50 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Napoli against 0.67 for Cagliari.

Napoli vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Napoli 2-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Napoli 64%, draw 20%, Cagliari 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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23 May 2025
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