Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 55%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.16/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-78% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
270 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Arba Minch Kenema shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arba Minch Kenema at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 49% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 51%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 30%, draw 25%, Arba Minch Kenema 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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