Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.6pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.9pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 39%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.79/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.18
+92% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
22.06.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
02.02.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 HT 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-0
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna squeezed past Ethiopian Insurance 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and on the day Ethiopia Bunna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 48% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 52%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 0.67 for Ethiopian Insurance.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 28%, draw 34%, Ethiopian Insurance 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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