Hearts of Oak 3-1 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 46%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.46
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
217 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts of Oak
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Accra Lions
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2024 Accra Lions 2-3 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA
01.05.2024 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 0-1 HT 0-0 Accra Lions GANA
21.11.2023 Accra Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA
19.12.2021 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 2-0 HT 0-0 Accra Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts of Oak
3-1
AWAY Accra Lions
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts of Oak got the better of Accra Lions 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hearts of Oak found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hearts of Oak had 41% of the ball to Accra Lions's 59%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hearts of Oak had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Hearts of Oak and 1.00 for Accra Lions.

What was the final score of Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions?

Hearts of Oak 3-1 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Accra Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hearts of Oak 32%, draw 30%, Accra Lions 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Accra Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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