Leevon / PPK 4-2 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 29%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/2.40
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leevon / PPK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Skanste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.09.2024 Skanste Skanste 3-0 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
19.05.2024 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 2-0 HT 1-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK saw off Skanste 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leevon / PPK and 1.50 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?

Leevon / PPK 4-2 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 46%, draw 22%, Skanste 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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