Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 33% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.6pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.62
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
27.04.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
26.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
23.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 HT 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.09.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jastrzebie Zdroj as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 46% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 54%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 0.80 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 41%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin II 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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