Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

Zaglebie Lubin II
1-2 HT 0-1
Jastrzebie Zdroj
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Zaglebie Lubin II vs Jastrzebie Zdroj Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin II v Jastrzebie Zdroj — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.51
+22% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Zaglebie Lubin II vs Jastrzebie Zdroj Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
26.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
23.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 HT 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.09.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2

Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
1-2
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Jastrzebie Zdroj found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 58% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 42%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Zaglebie Lubin II and 1.75 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 34%, draw 28%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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