Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 48%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.99
+95% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
11.05.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-4 HT 0-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
28.10.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 1-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
1-0
AWAY Polonia Bytom
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice squeezed past Polonia Bytom 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 36% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 64%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polonia Bytom led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 2.50 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 34%, draw 24%, Polonia Bytom 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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