Hutnik Krakow 2-1 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.79/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.44
+13% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-0 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
21.10.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
15.04.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
10.09.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
27.11.2021 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-3 HT 0-2 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
07.08.2021 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 1-0 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
2-1
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow edged past Olimpia Elblag 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hutnik Krakow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 53% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hutnik Krakow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 0.83 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Elblag?

Hutnik Krakow 2-1 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 47%, draw 27%, Olimpia Elblag 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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