Dunajska Streda 3-2 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.83/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.47
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.5 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
05.04.2025 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-1 HT 1-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
30.11.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
29.10.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
07.04.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-1 HT 3-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
25.02.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
3-2
AWAY Podbrezova
2.63 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
215 Passes 264
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda squeezed past Podbrezova 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 46% of the ball to Podbrezova's 54%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.63 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dunajska Streda's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunajska Streda and 0.67 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova?

Dunajska Streda 3-2 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 55%, draw 22%, Podbrezova 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✓ Over 2.5
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