Stirling Lions 1-2 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.7pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 45%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.84
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Lions
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bayswater City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2025 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-1 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
07.06.2025 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
29.06.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-4 HT 0-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
30.03.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
16.02.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions BAGS
12.08.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-2 HT 0-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City squeezed past Stirling Lions 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stirling Lions at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayswater City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stirling Lions and 1.83 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Bayswater City?

Stirling Lions 1-2 Bayswater City in the Australia - NPL West on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 44%, draw 18%, Bayswater City 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stirling Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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