Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mushuc Runa v Guayaquil City — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mushuc Runa 2-2 Guayaquil City — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa and Guayaquil City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
This one beat our numbers. Mushuc Runa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Mushuc Runa had 54% of the ball to Guayaquil City's 46%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.16 to 0.29.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.00 for Guayaquil City.
Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City Result & Final Score
Mushuc Runa 2 - 2 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 56%, draw 27%, Guayaquil City 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.