EIF 1-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 23 May 2026

EIF
1-0 HT 0-0
KaPa
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.98/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.75
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
5W-1D-0L
AWAY KaPa
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2026 EIF EIF 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINYK
26.09.2025 EIF EIF 4-1 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
14.06.2025 KaPa KaPa 1-3 HT 0-2 EIF EIF FİN2
23.04.2025 EIF EIF 4-2 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.08.2023 EIF EIF 2-1 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
04.06.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 1-2 EIF EIF FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-0
AWAY KaPa
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH EIF vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF edged past KaPa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had EIF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, EIF had 52% of the ball to KaPa's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, EIF had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for EIF and 1.33 for KaPa.

What was the final score of EIF vs KaPa?

EIF 1-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a EIF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split EIF 51%, draw 19%, KaPa 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EIF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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