Albirex Niigata 2-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.33/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.00
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 11.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
229 Passes 537
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.02.2026 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2-3
13.11.2021 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
24.04.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
25.11.2020 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-3 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
23.09.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
13.10.2019 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
2-1
AWAY Ehime FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
210 Passes 386
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata nicked a narrow win over Ehime FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Albirex Niigata found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 40% of the ball to Ehime FC's 60%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata and 0.50 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Ehime FC?

Albirex Niigata 2-1 Ehime FC in the JAP2-3 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 36%, draw 28%, Ehime FC 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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