ThespaKusatsu Gunma 7-2 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
456 Passes 174
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2026 Sagamihara Sagamihara 5-0 HT 2-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2-3
27.09.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
13.04.2025 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
06.03.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JLK
07.11.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
07.03.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
7-2
AWAY Sagamihara
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
341 Passes 133
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma cruised past Sagamihara 7-2. Half-time: 2-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sagamihara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 66% of the ball to Sagamihara's 34%, shots finished 21-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.50 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Sagamihara?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 7-2 Sagamihara in the JAP2-3 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 30%, draw 28%, Sagamihara 42%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sagamihara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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