Sagamihara 5-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-4D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
192 Passes 492
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
13.04.2025 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
06.03.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JLK
07.11.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
07.03.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
5-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
34% Ball Possession 66%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 5
138 Passes 385
58% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara swept aside ThespaKusatsu Gunma 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 34% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 66%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sagamihara and 1.40 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Sagamihara 5-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the JAP2-3 on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 41%, draw 27%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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