Nara Club 5-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 61%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+91% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.7 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2026 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 5-2 HT 3-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP2-3
08.09.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
09.03.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
12.11.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
22.07.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-2 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
5-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 26
7 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 4
410 Passes 511
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club ran out comfortable winners over Kataller Toyama 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nara Club had 45% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 55%, shots finished 9-26.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nara Club and 1.60 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Kataller Toyama?

Nara Club 5-1 Kataller Toyama in the JAP2-3 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 25%, draw 21%, Kataller Toyama 54%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
23 May 2026
08:00 ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Sagamihara Analysis →
08:00 Vegalta Sendai vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
08:00 FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
08:00 Albirex Niigata vs Ehime FC Analysis →