Diriyah 2-1 Al Ula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.18
Over 2.5
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.3pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.0pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriyah EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ula EU Bookmakers 33%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.18/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-17% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriyah
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ula
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
15.02.2026 Diriyah Diriyah 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Ula Al Ula SUUD1
20.10.2025 Al Ula Al Ula 2-1 HT 1-0 Diriyah Diriyah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Diriyah vs Al Ula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriyah edged past Al Ula 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diriyah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ula led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diriyah and 2.50 for Al Ula.

What was the final score of Diriyah vs Al Ula?

Diriyah 2-1 Al Ula in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriyah vs Al Ula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Diriyah 46%, draw 24%, Al Ula 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →