Östersunds FK 1-0 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 23 Jun 2024

Östersunds FK
1-0 HT 0-0
Utsiktens BK
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östersunds FK vs Utsiktens BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 25% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
11%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.21
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Utsiktens BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.55/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.59
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Östersunds FK vs Utsiktens BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
28.05.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
29.10.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 3-3 HT 1-2 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
02.07.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-3 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
24.08.2015 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 5-1 HT 3-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
20.05.2015 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-2 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK squeezed past Utsiktens BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Östersunds FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.50 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Utsiktens BK?

Östersunds FK 1-0 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 40%, draw 26%, Utsiktens BK 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östersunds FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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