IK Brage 5-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 27% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.05
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
13%
4.03
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
10%
6.11
2/1
12%
20.6
2/2
9%
7.15
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.62/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
-10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
463 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
4W-2D-0L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-2 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
08.05.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-0 HT 2-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
25.02.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 0-2 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
24.10.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
02.08.2021 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 3-3 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
05.12.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 0-1 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Brage
5-0
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage cruised past GIF Sundsvall 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, IK Brage had 58% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 42%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IK Brage and 0.67 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs GIF Sundsvall?

IK Brage 5-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 50%, draw 25%, GIF Sundsvall 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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