Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.4pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.82/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.26
-37% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
7 Corners 4
04.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi edged past Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Club Atletico Guemes at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 44%, draw 31%, Arsenal Sarandi 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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