Patronato 4-0 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.05/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.96
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
02.02.2024 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
16.10.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 2-1 HT 2-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato swept aside Agropecuario Argentino 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) promised a tight game; Patronato found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patronato and 1.33 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Patronato 4-0 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Patronato 34%, draw 36%, Agropecuario Argentino 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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