Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.9pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1-1
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi and Club Atletico Guemes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Sarandi at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Sarandi had 57% of the ball to Club Atletico Guemes's 43%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 47%, draw 26%, Club Atletico Guemes 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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