Amazonas vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amazonas v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Amazonas vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Amazonas 2-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Amazonas nicked a narrow win over Vila Nova 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Amazonas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Amazonas had 53% of the ball to Vila Nova's 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.59 — on chances, Vila Nova could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amazonas and 1.50 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Amazonas vs Vila Nova?
Amazonas 2-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 39%, draw 34%, Vila Nova 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.