Cienciano 3-2 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +25%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.42
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.6 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
260 Passes 197
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
13.05.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
06.08.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.05.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 5-2 HT 3-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.08.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.04.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 5-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
3-2
AWAY Alianza Atletico
0.93 xG 0.97
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
335 Passes 128
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cienciano had 67% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 33%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cienciano and 0.83 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico?

Cienciano 3-2 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 49%, draw 24%, Alianza Atletico 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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