RKC 3-2 Rochester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.1pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochester EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
3.72/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/6.00
+77% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -69%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Rochester
5.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 12
14 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.07.2024 RKC RKC 4-0 Rochester Rochester USL2
26.05.2024 RKC RKC 6-1 HT 1-0 Rochester Rochester USL2
06.07.2023 RKC RKC 6-1 Rochester Rochester USL2
POST-MATCH RKC vs Rochester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC squeezed past Rochester 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RKC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RKC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.33 goals for RKC and 0.67 for Rochester.

What was the final score of RKC vs Rochester?

RKC 3-2 Rochester in the USA - USL League 2 on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC vs Rochester?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split RKC 56%, draw 20%, Rochester 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RKC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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