RKC 4-0 Rochester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochester EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
3.64/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/6.00
+61% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rochester
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 12
14 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 RKC RKC 6-1 HT 1-0 Rochester Rochester USL2
06.07.2023 RKC RKC 6-1 Rochester Rochester USL2
POST-MATCH RKC vs Rochester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC swept aside Rochester 4-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RKC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, RKC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals for RKC and 1.00 for Rochester.

What was the final score of RKC vs Rochester?

RKC 4-0 Rochester in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC vs Rochester?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split RKC 52%, draw 22%, Rochester 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RKC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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