Ponte Preta 0-2 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Jun 2026

📅23/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponte Preta
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Novorizontino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
299 Passes 240
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 2-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
15.06.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
28.10.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
03.07.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
26.08.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
14.05.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
0-2
AWAY Novorizontino
0.24 xG 1.67
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
119 Passes 478
64% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino got the better of Ponte Preta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 26% of the ball to Novorizontino's 74%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.24 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novorizontino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.00 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino?

Ponte Preta 0-2 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 21%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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