Shamrock Rovers 0-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
44%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.21
Over
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No Pick
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
29%
4.4
2-3
37%
1.89
4-5
24%
2.94
6+
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.4 — our 29% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
17%
+12.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
44%
Away Win
62%
-18.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag The Market 66%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
0-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag saw off Shamrock Rovers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 31% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 69%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sparta Prag?

Shamrock Rovers 0-2 Sparta Prag in the Champions League on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 29%, draw 27%, Sparta Prag 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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