Hajduk Split 2-0 Pafos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 33% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pafos EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-0
AWAY Pafos
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Pafos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split beat Pafos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Pafos?

Hajduk Split 2-0 Pafos in the UEFA Europa League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Pafos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 47%, draw 21%, Pafos 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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