Nautico 2-1 Londrina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Jul 2026

Nautico
2-1 HT 1-0
Londrina
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Nautico vs Londrina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nautico v Londrina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nautico EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Londrina EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.69/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.43
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
28.3 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nautico vs Londrina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nautico
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Londrina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
310 Passes 231
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.07.2022 Nautico Nautico 1-2 HT 1-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
10.04.2022 Londrina Londrina 2-0 HT 2-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
22.09.2021 Nautico Nautico 1-2 HT 0-1 Londrina Londrina BR2
23.06.2021 Londrina Londrina 0-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
11.11.2017 Nautico Nautico 1-2 HT 0-1 Londrina Londrina BR2
22.07.2017 Londrina Londrina 0-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2

Nautico 2-1 Londrina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nautico
2-1
AWAY Londrina
1.89 xG 0.93
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
231 Passes 217
24 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Nautico vs Londrina
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nautico edged past Londrina 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie B on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.89 to 0.93.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Londrina lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nautico and 1.33 for Londrina.

What was the final score of Nautico vs Londrina?

Nautico 2-1 Londrina in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nautico vs Londrina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nautico win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nautico 48%, draw 30%, Londrina 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nautico), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nautico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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