Goias 1-1 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Jul 2026

Goias
1-1 HT 0-1
Sport Recife
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Goias vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 36% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goias v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.18/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.3 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Goias vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Recife
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.75 xG 1.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
266 Passes 425
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.09.2024 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR2
01.06.2024 Goias Goias 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
27.12.2020 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
07.09.2020 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.09.2015 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
05.06.2015 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1

Goias 1-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-1
AWAY Sport Recife
0.54 xG 0.26
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
438 Passes 329
21 Box Touches 7
37 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Goias vs Sport Recife
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Goias and Sport Recife shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Brazil - Serie B on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.54 to 0.26.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Goias and 0.67 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Goias vs Sport Recife?

Goias 1-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Goias 42%, draw 25%, Sport Recife 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Goias), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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