Manta 1-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.32/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.10
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
240 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.9 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
0W-3D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
200 Passes 362
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
17.08.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
27.04.2025 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.06.2022 Manta Manta 0-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKVK
26.09.2021 Manta Manta 2-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
14.04.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
1-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.34 xG 1.06
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 7
377 Passes 100
31 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manta vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manta and LDU Quito shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.34 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Manta and 1.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Manta vs LDU Quito?

Manta 1-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Manta 25%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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