Manta 1-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 27 Apr 2025

Manta
1-1 HT 1-1
LDU Quito
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Manta vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manta v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
0.98/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
+48% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
12.2 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Manta vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
2W-2D-2L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 1.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
138 Passes 346
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.06.2022 Manta Manta 0-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKVK
26.09.2021 Manta Manta 2-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
14.04.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
09.11.2014 Manta Manta 3-3 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.08.2014 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-2 HT 0-2 Manta Manta EKV1
25.01.2014 Manta Manta 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

Manta 1-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
1-1
AWAY LDU Quito
0.76 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
272 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manta vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manta and LDU Quito couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manta had 50% of the ball to LDU Quito's 50%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manta and 1.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Manta vs LDU Quito?

Manta 1-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manta 27%, draw 30%, LDU Quito 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
27 Apr 2025
03:00 Macara vs Barcelona SC Analysis →
21:00 Aucas vs Mushuc Runa Analysis →
23:30 Orense vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →