Aucas vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 2-0 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas saw off Mushuc Runa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Aucas had 55% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 45%, shots finished 24-18, expected goals 3.14 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aucas and 0.50 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Mushuc Runa?
Aucas 2-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aucas 46%, draw 27%, Mushuc Runa 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.