Orense 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 27 Apr 2025

Orense
1-2 HT 1-0
Independiente Del Valle
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Orense vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.96
+35% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.6 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Orense vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 1.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
198 Passes 402
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.06.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
26.11.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-2 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
12.06.2023 Orense Orense 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
06.08.2022 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.03.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 Orense Orense EKV1

Orense 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
1-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.65 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
285 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Orense vs Independiente Del Valle
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Independiente Del Valle edged past Orense 2-1 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 27 Apr 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Orense had 48% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 52%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.60.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orense and 1.33 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Orense vs Independiente Del Valle?

Orense 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orense 28%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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