LDU Quito 1-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
74%
-0.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.8pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.95/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.86
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
22.0 Crosses 12.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Manta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 0.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
356 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
27.04.2025 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.06.2022 Manta Manta 0-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKVK
26.09.2021 Manta Manta 2-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
14.04.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
09.11.2014 Manta Manta 3-3 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1-0
AWAY Manta
0.94 xG 0.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
384 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 5
41 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Manta 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LDU Quito had 60% of the ball to Manta's 40%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.94 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 1.17 for Manta.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Manta?

LDU Quito 1-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 73%, draw 16%, Manta 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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