Barcelona SC 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.01/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.23
-28% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.4 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
03.11.2025 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
01.09.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-3 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
11.05.2025 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
26.08.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.05.2024 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.32 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC and Uni. Catolica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 47% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 53%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.32 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.17 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica?

Barcelona SC 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 43%, draw 27%, Uni. Catolica 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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