Barcelona SC 2-3 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.14/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.17
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.1 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
26.08.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.05.2024 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.12.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
19.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
2-3
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.44 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
316 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica squeezed past Barcelona SC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 46% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 54%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.44 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.67 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica?

Barcelona SC 2-3 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 42%, draw 28%, Uni. Catolica 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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