Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tecnico Universitario v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Tecnico Universitario 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 41% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 59%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.89 to 2.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Del Valle's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.83 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle?
Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 25%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.