Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.13
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.9 Crosses 13.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macara
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
288 Passes 202
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.11.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
02.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
11.04.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
24.08.2024 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
21.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-1
AWAY Macara
1.11 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
214 Passes 276
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Macara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 46% of the ball to Macara's 54%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.11 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.17 for Macara.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 45%, draw 28%, Macara 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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