Macara 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.41/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.12
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.6 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
183 Passes 279
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
02.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
11.04.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
24.08.2024 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
21.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.08.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.55 xG 0.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
232 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca squeezed past Macara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Macara had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.55 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Macara and 0.83 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Macara 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Macara 41%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5
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