Delfin 0-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Dec 2025

Delfin
0-1 HT 0-0
Aucas
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 55%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.22/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.01
-12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.0 Crosses 23.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aucas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.86 xG 1.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2025 Aucas Aucas 8-0 HT 4-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.07.2025 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
05.04.2025 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.11.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.05.2024 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.11.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
0-1
AWAY Aucas
0.34 xG 0.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
234 Passes 299
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas squeezed past Delfin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Delfin had 44% of the ball to Aucas's 56%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.34 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Delfin and 2.17 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Aucas?

Delfin 0-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Delfin 30%, draw 23%, Aucas 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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